Open Philanthropy recommended a grant of £100,000 (approximately $125,210 at the time of conversion) over two years to The Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) to support a collaboration with the Structural Transformation and Economic Growth (STEG) program and the Berkeley Initiative for Transparency in the Social Sciences (BITSS) on predicting the macroeconomic impacts of cash transfers. The initiative will complement a large, multi-year randomized controlled trial (RCT) conducted by GiveDirectly.
STEG has issued a call for proposals on research papers that predict the macroeconomic effects of cash transfers. Accepted papers will be presented at a BITSS workshop, and their pre-registered predictions will continue to be evaluated against measured outcomes from the RCTs.
This falls within Open Philanthropy’s focus areas of forecasting and global health and wellbeing.