Open Philanthropy recommended a grant of $2,750,000 to Metaculus to support work to improve its online forecasting platform, which allows forecasters to make predictions about world events. Metaculus has a strong forecasting track record, and offers direct forecasting services to organizations (including the option to run tournaments on specific topics).
We believe this work will help to provide more accurate and calibrated forecasts in domains relevant to Open Philanthropy’s work — such as AI and biosecurity and pandemic preparedness — and enable organizations and individuals working in those areas to make better decisions.
This follows Open Philanthropy’s April 2023 support and falls within its focus area of forecasting.