“…if you really think that there’s a good chance that you’re not understanding things, then something that you could do that at least probably has some shot of helping is to put future generations in a better position to solve these questions — once they have lots of time and hopefully are a whole lot smarter and much more informed than we are…”
“I don’t know yet what suite of tests exactly you could show me, and what arguments you could show me, that would make me actually convinced that this model has a sufficiently deeply rooted motivation to not try to escape human control. I think that’s, in some sense, the whole heart of the alignment problem.”
“By the time that the AIs can do 20% of cognitive tasks in the broader economy, maybe they can already do 40% or 50% of tasks specifically in AI R&D. So they could have already really started accelerating the pace of progress by the time we get to that 20% economic impact threshold.
At that point you could easily imagine that really it’s just one year, you give them a 10x bigger brain. That’s like going from chimps to humans — and then doing that jump again. That could easily be enough to go from [AIs being able to do] 20% [of cognitive tasks] to 100%, just intuitively. I think that’s kind of the default, really.”
“Bollard appreciates the progress, particularly in corporate and legislative arenas, but cautioned that there’s still much work ahead. Domestically, there’s no national law, and the meat industry has tremendous power. Some retailers are farther along than others. Globally, protections are still ‘either missing or growing.’
As work continues, ‘The jury is still out,’ he said.
“Open Philanthropy is providing $150 million to four fellow grant-makers, including the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, to boost funding for what it views as high-impact programs in health care, climate change, and other areas of global development.”
“Influential research and grant-making organization Open Philanthropy announced this week that it has hired lead officers for its first ‘new causes’ in more than five years: South Asian air quality and global aid advocacy. The group expects the two programs to support its efforts to cost-effectively direct millions of dollars toward grants aimed at boosting incomes or increasing the years of healthy life for the world’s lowest-income people.”